Working Papers

The Micro–Aggregated Profit Share
Joint with Luis Perez
September 2023 [Bibtex]

Comments on the 2023 Draft Merger Guidelines: A Labor Market Perspective
Joint with David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey, and Eric Posner
August 2023 [Bibtex]

Merger Guidelines for the Labor Market
Joint with David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey, and Eric Posner
R&R at Journal of Monetary Economics, April 2023 [Bibtex]

Published Papers

Analysing inflation with semi-structural models
Joint with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
Research Handbook of Inflation, 2024 [Bibtex]
Previously circulated as Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices

Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign Factors, Financial Markets, and Model Averaging
Joint with Paolo Andreini, Lucrezia Reichlin, Charlotte Senftleben-König, and Till Strohsal
International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 [Bibtex]

A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation
Joint with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2022 [Online Appendix, Code, Bibtex]

When is Growth at Risk?
Joint with Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020 [Online Appendix, Code, Bibtex]
Previously circulated as Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Growth Vulnerability

Non-Technical Articles

The Inflation Puzzle in the Euro Area – It’s the Trend not the Cycle!
Joint with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
VoxEU, October 2019

Low Inflation for Longer
Joint with Filippo Pellegrino, Lucrezia Reichlin, and Giovanni Ricco
VoxEU, January 2018

The US Sneezes and the Eurozone Catches a Cold
Joint with Alberto Caruso, Filippo Pellegrino, and Lucrezia Reichlin
VoxEU, February 2016